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INVESTMENT SECTORS

AUS SHARES 2008
versus
FIXED INTEREST


AUSTRALIAN SHARES
versus
BALANCED PORTFOLIO


DIRECT PROPERTY
versus
AUSTRALIAN SHARES


BALANCED PORTFOLIO
versus
SALARY INDEX


AUSTRALIAN SHARES
versus
LISTED PROPERTY


FIXED INTEREST
versus
CASH


BOND RATES
versus
BILL RATES


AUSTRALIAN SHARES
versus
INT SHARES


AUS INTEREST
versus
INT INTEREST


CASH
versus
INFLATION


BALANCED
versus
CAPITAL STABLE


AUS SHARES
versus
FIXED INTEREST


AUS INVESTMENT
PERFORMANCE
1960 - 2005


CONTACT

"Australian Shares" versus "Fixed Interest" - an historical perspective and comparison

 

This article is one of a series of SuperMail articles by Mr. Colin Grenfell, who is a superannuation consultant, an actuary and Associate Director of SuperEasy.

 

Each article compares the long term performance of two investment sectors, such as Australian Shares, International Shares, Listed Property, Direct Property or Fixed Interest, or financial indicators, such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI), Average Weekly Ordinary Time Earnings (AWOTE), 90 day Bank Bill rates or 10 year Bond rates.

 

This article compares the investment performance of diversified portfolios of Australian Shares and Fixed Interest securities over the 43 years from 31 December 1965, when suitable data for the various investment sectors first became available, to 31 December 2008. The article is an update of a similar article published five and a half years ago. The Fixed Interest portfolio is primarily invested in government bonds and contains no international securities.

 

Let's examine what happened if $10,000 was invested at the start of the period, assuming that all investment income (i.e. dividends and interest income) was reinvested back in each sector, as occurs with some managed investments. Both portfolios are revalued monthly based on market values.

 

The following chart plots the results for the 43 year period. The chart has been prepared using a logarithmic scale designed to show proportional increases and decreases in values (rather than changes in the values in dollar terms). The ratio of the Australian Share portfolio accumulated results as a percentage of the Fixed Interest accumulated results is also shown. From 31 December 2002 the value of the Australian Share portfolio increased steadily each year until it reached $2,136,000 at 31 December 2007; then it fell to $1,333,000 one year later.

 

The next table summarises the 43 year results:

 

$10,000 invested for  43 years

from 31/12/1965 to 31/12/2008:

 Accumulated to:

Australian

Shares

$1,333,000

Fixed

Interest

$356,600

 

Difference

$976,400

Average annual

compound return

    43 yrs

 12.1%

   8.7%

    3.4%

                                                 Source: Austmod historical returns before tax and fees

 

Because of the volatility of the Share portfolio values, the results are quite dependent on the period chosen, particularly the end date. To illustrate this, the next table summarises the results for the 42 years to 31 December 2007:

 

$10,000 invested for  42 years

from 31/12/1965 to 31/12/2007:

 Accumulated to:

Australian

Shares

$2,136,000

Fixed

Interest

$315,000

 

Difference

$1,821,000

Average annual

compound return

    42 yrs

 13.6%

   8.5%

    5.1%

                                                   Source: Austmod historical returns before tax and fees

 

 

The year-by-year investment returns for each year ending 31 December have been:

 

Note that the annual returns for the Australian Share portfolio were negative 11 times in the 43 years, whereas the annual returns for the Fixed Interest portfolio were negative 7 times in the 43 years. The highest annual return for Australian Shares was 63.6% (and 9 times the annual return exceeded 30%) but the highest annual return for Fixed Interest was 29.9%.

 

To give an indication of trends over the period, the next chart plots the 15-year moving average compound returns per annum. The 15-year moving average compound rate of inflation per annum, based on changes in the CPI, is also shown.

Disclaimer: This article is intended to be a factual analysis of past investment returns. It is not intended, nor is it to be regarded, as investment/securities advice. It does not take into account whether any particular investment or type of investment is suitable for your individual circumstances. It is strongly recommended that you seek professional advice before making any investment choice or decision.




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