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HOME INVESTMENT SECTORS AUSTRALIAN SHARES versus BALANCED PORTFOLIO DIRECT PROPERTY versus AUSTRALIAN SHARES BALANCED PORTFOLIO versus SALARY INDEX AUSTRALIAN SHARES versus LISTED PROPERTY FIXED INTEREST versus CASH BOND RATES versus BILL RATES AUSTRALIAN SHARES versus INT SHARES AUS INTEREST versus INT INTEREST CASH versus INFLATION BALANCED versus CAPITAL STABLE AUS SHARES versus FIXED INTEREST AUS INVESTMENT PERFORMANCE 1960 - 2005 CONTACT |
"Balanced Portfolio" versus "Salary Index" - an historical perspective and comparison This article is one of a series of SuperMail articles by Colin Grenfell, who is a superannuation consultant and actuary and Associate Director of SuperEasy. Each article compares the long term performance of two investment sectors, such as Australian Shares, International Shares, Listed Property or Fixed Interest, or financial indicators, such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI), Average Weekly Ordinary Time Earnings (AWOTE), 90 day Bank Bill Rates or 10 year Bond Rates. This article compares the investment performance of a diversified "Balanced Portfolio" with rates of salary increases ("Salary Index" as an indicator of changes in living standards) over the 37 years from 30 June 1965, when suitable data for the various investment sectors first became available, to 30 June 2002. The salary increases used are obtained from published Average Weekly Ordinary Time Earnings (AWOTE) since 31/12/74, and Average Weekly Earnings (AWE) prior that date. The Balanced Portfolio comprises:
Let's examine what happened if $10,000 was invested at the start of the period, assuming that all investment income (ie
dividends, net rent and interest) was reinvested back in each sector. For comparison the Salary (AWOTE and AWE) Index starting from a base of $10,000, is also shown. The following chart plots the results for the first 20 years of the period. During most of this period the investment performance was less than salary increases.
The following chart plots the results for the entire 37 year period. During the latter part of this period the investment performance significantly exceeded salary increases.
The next table summarises the 37 year investment results:
Source: Austmod
historical returns before tax and fees ** This is the average annual investment return in excess of salary increases (ie 10.76% less 8.12% equals 2.64%). On a compound basis the actual real (salary-based) average investment return is 2.44% pa (ie 1.1076/1.0812 less 1 equals 2.44%). A long term positive real investment return is critical for the funding of adequate retirement benefits.
Note that the annual returns for the Balanced Portfolio were
negative 4 times in the 37 years (the return for the year ending 30 June 1973 was -0.3%). More importantly, from a superannuation funding perspective, the annual returns for the Balanced Portfolio were less than Salary Increases 11 times in the 37 years.
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SuperEasy Pty Ltd is not licensed to provide advice on investments, or legalities of the types of investments that you can have. SuperEasy® strongly recommends that you seek professional advice before making any investment choice or decision! |
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