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HOME INVESTMENT SECTORS AUSTRALIAN SHARES versus BALANCED PORTFOLIO DIRECT PROPERTY versus AUSTRALIAN SHARES BALANCED PORTFOLIO versus SALARY INDEX AUSTRALIAN SHARES versus LISTED PROPERTY FIXED INTEREST versus CASH BOND RATES versus BILL RATES AUSTRALIAN SHARES versus INT SHARES AUS INTEREST versus INT INTEREST CASH versus INFLATION BALANCED versus CAPITAL STABLE AUS SHARES versus FIXED INTEREST AUS INVESTMENT PERFORMANCE 1960 - 2005 CONTACT |
"Australian Shares" versus "Fixed Interest" - an historical perspective and comparison This article is one of a series of SuperMail articles by Colin Grenfell, who is a superannuation consultant and actuary and Associate Director of SuperEasy. Each article compares the long term performance of two investment sectors, such as Australian Shares, International Shares, Listed Property or Fixed Interest, or financial indicators, such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI), Average Weekly Ordinary Time Earnings (AWOTE), 90 day Bank Bill Rates or 10 year Bond Rates. This article compares the investment performance of diversified portfolios of Australian Shares and Fixed Interest securities over the 38 years from 30 June 1965 (when suitable data first became available) to 30 June 2003. The Fixed Interest portfolio is primarily invested in government bonds and contains no international securities. It is revalued monthly based on market values. First, let's examine what happened if $10,000 was invested in each of these two sectors at the start of the period, assuming that all investment income (ie dividends and interest income) was reinvested back in each sector, as occurs with some managed investments: The following chart plots the results for the first 19 years of the period. During all of this this period, except for the first 12 months, the accumulated result for Australian Shares exceeded that for Fixed Interest.
The following chart plots the results for the entire 38 year period:
The next table summarises the 38 year investment results:
Source: Austmod historical returns before tax and fees * The "standard deviation" indicates, for normally distributed investment returns, that approximately: (a) one-sixth of annual returns are less than (average - standard deviation) (b) two-thirds are in the range (average - standard deviation) to (average + standard deviation) (c) one-sixth of annual returns are more than (average + standard deviation).
Note that the annual returns for Australian Shares were negative 7 times in the 38 years and the
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